Step 3: Scout Your Area — Chart It Out!
September 17, 2014
Using the list in the previous blog post, let’s make a chart to identify specific threats, (i.e., disasters and other possible emergencies) which your neighborhood may experience. In the first column, write “Threat” and list the ones that you think are most likely to occur in your area.
Next, let’s rate the risk of each threat: how likely is the possibility that it will occur? Very likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely at all? Let’s create a second column and write “Likelihood of Occurrence.” Use the following percentage ranges as a guide to assess the risk for each threat, and write down the percentage number you think applies best next to each threat listed:
Almost Certain: greater than a 90% chance
Likely: 50-90% chance
Moderate: 10-50% chance
Unlikely: 3-10% chance
Rare: 3% chance or less
One more column to go! Create a third column and write “Level of Impact: High, Medium, Low.” When looking at the level of impact a particular disaster or catastrophic event could have upon your neighborhood, think of how vulnerable your area would be to injury, death, or property damage. Use these ranges as guides:
Minor/Low – some low-level service disruption, little to no property damage, injury, loss of life
Moderate/Medium – definite service disruption, minimum property damage, injury, loss of life
Major/High – services severely disrupted/damaged. Significant property damage, injuries, fatalities.
Under the Level of Impact column, write down your assessment (High, Medium or Low) next to each threat you listed.
Are you finished? Well done! This chart will give us a much better idea of what to expect and how we can properly prepare in the event of a disaster.